Forecasting market growth: Don’t think in straight lines | Competitive Intelligence Bytes – Mar 2017

Competitive Intelligence Bytes
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Several businesses across the world will have marked last Friday – the 31st of March – as the last day of their financial year. Heads of sales, strategy and finance, and management teams of corporations will spend many hours over the next few weeks dissecting their year’s performance. How accurate were the industry-wide demand forecasts? Was the strategy team able to predict the likelihood of a disruption of some sort in the industry? Did they expect consumer behaviour to change so drastically in a year?

 

For businesses of all kinds, yesterday’s success is history. What matters is the future. As a result, competitive and market intelligence analysts are routinely tasked with forecasting market (or product) growth. Very often, business plans are built on such forecasts. But if you ask the users of these estimates, there is more than a healthy scepticism. After all, who can predict the future?

 

These days it appears next to impossible to ignore big data and analytics. When we’re stumped, big data will tell us what to do. And if big data doesn’t have the answer, we can look at “small” data! We will make better marketing decisions, acquire more customers, improve profitability, and beat the pants off competition. Is this real, or hype promoted by people who want to sell us expensive hardware, software or services? The answer is in between.

Do read about how we helped aglobalengineering firm tap into a multi-million-dollar market opportunity with their water filtration solution.
Case study
Global engineering MNC taps into $300 million market for their water filtration solution
A global engineering firm wanted to develop a go-to-market strategy to penetrate the water filtration market. An abundance of latent demand and a lack of organised players encouraged them to evaluate the current and future opportunities. The client, primarily a B2B player, lacked expertise in the B2C space and hence needed to develop a water-tight go-to-market strategy to win in this market. Specifically, they needed to –

  • Understand the current potable water scenario in India
  • Assess the opportunity for their water filtration solution
  • Understand business models and their feasibility
  • Understand performance, technical feasibility and profitability of key water filtration technologies
  • Establish the go-to-market strategies and technology focus of major competitors

 

Find out how our recommendations & actionable insights helped the client

 

If there is anything specific about competitive intelligence you would like us to write about,do mail us.

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